Democratic gubernatorial candidate Cinde Warmington is facing questions over her energy policies and campaign message as national Democrats descend on New Hampshire to help her defeat Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte ahead of the November 3 election.
Warmington appeared alongside California Gov. Gavin Newsom in Exeter on October 17, promising to make Ayotte a one-term governor while invoking former President Joe Biden’s “Build Back Better” slogan.
“We’re going to make Kelly Ayotte a one-term governor the same way Maggie Hassan made her a one-term senator,” Warmington said before declaring that Democrats would “Build Back Better.”
The remarks drew attention in NH Journal’s October 19 campaign memo, which questioned whether Warmington’s message would resonate with voters focused on affordability and the economy.
But the Democratic candidate faces another potential vulnerability: her support for an aggressive transition away from fossil fuels.
Warmington’s 2024 CLEAN Energy Economy Plan proposed achieving net-zero emissions in New Hampshire by 2040, a decade ahead of Massachusetts’ stated 2050 target. Republicans have seized on the proposal to argue that her energy agenda could increase costs for households that rely on conventional fuels for heat.
A Republican-aligned advertisement titled “Warmington: Higher Cost, Higher Taxes” claimed her policies would eliminate natural gas and home heating oil, driving up energy costs across the state.
Warmington’s campaign challenged the advertisement, arguing that it falsely characterized her position. Her complaint asked the state attorney general to issue a cease-and-desist letter against the ad, according to NH Journal’s report on the dispute.
The disagreement has put the practical consequences of Warmington’s climate agenda under greater scrutiny. Nearly 60% of New Hampshire homes use heating oil or propane, according to the report, making the cost and availability of residential heating a significant issue for Granite State voters.
In an August interview with WMUR, Warmington reiterated her opposition to expanding natural gas access, arguing that New Hampshire needed to move away from fossil fuels and invest in energy efficiency and renewable energy.
Warmington has not released an updated version of her energy plan, NH Journal reported, leaving questions about how she would implement her net-zero ambitions while addressing the needs of residents who depend on conventional heating fuels.
The energy dispute gives Ayotte an opportunity to frame the election around household budgets and the potential costs of Democratic climate policies. Republicans have argued that ambitious emissions targets should not come at the expense of affordable, reliable energy, particularly in a state where winter heating is a major household expense.
Warmington, meanwhile, has emphasized reproductive freedom, LGBTQ rights and environmental protection while attempting to build a coalition capable of unseating the incumbent.
National Democrats have increased their presence in the state to support her campaign. Newsom joined Warmington in Exeter, while other prominent Democrats, including former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, have campaigned for Democratic candidates in New Hampshire. Former Vice President Kamala Harris was also expected to visit the state, according to NH Journal.
The outside support comes as Warmington faces a substantial fundraising disadvantage. NH Journal reported that she had raised approximately $1.37 million, compared with more than $8.5 million for Ayotte.
That gap gives the Republican incumbent considerably greater resources to reach voters through advertising and other campaign operations during the final stretch.
Warmington must now convince voters that her energy agenda can deliver environmental benefits without imposing unacceptable costs on households, while persuading them that her broader priorities offer a compelling alternative to Ayotte’s popular record.
With Election Day approaching, Republicans are betting that concerns over energy prices, taxes and affordability will resonate more strongly with voters than the Democratic campaign’s national endorsements and policy priorities.
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